Yesterday, we got to hear the Chancellor, Philip Hammond, set out the Government's spend and tax raising policies for the next few years. Billed as an "optimistic, upbeat" budget, there was certainly a lot of spin coming from the Government benches. The UK was the 2nd fastest-growing economy in the G7 in 2016 (although it may not feel like it for those who didn't manage to find a job last year) and the growth forecast for this year has been upgraded from 1.6% to 2%. The Chancellor proudly proclaimed that the Government was aiming to get 650,000 people into employment by 2021. However, the "optimistic" budget was filled with a note of caution; thanks to the uncertainty caused by the Brexit process and it's aftermath, the GDP figures have been downgraded to 1.6% in 2018, 1.7% in 2019 and 1.9% in 2020 with GDP growth figures returning to 2% by 2021. The rate of Inflation's expected to rise slightly to 2.4% in the next financial year (2017-18) before falling back to 2.3% in 2018-19 and 2.0% in 2019-20. Borrowing figures are expected to fall to £20.6 bn in 2020-21 despite the UK facing the consequences of leaving the EU and debt is expected to rise to 86.6% this year but Mr Hammond is confident it'll fall to 79.8% in 2020-21. Certainly a mixed picture for the UK economy.
A mixed picture for the UK economy was followed by a mix of budgetary policies, some rather more surprising than others. Most UK politicos knew that T-Levels were being introduced and that there might be an extra £1bn for Adult Social Care (it turned out to be £2bn) but very few could have predicted that the Government would ask for an increase in National Insurance Contributions (NICs) from the self-employed, breaking a key manifesto pledge from 2015, something they mocked the Lib Dems for doing on tuition fees, during the General Election campaign. So I wanted to see what a bunch of voters in my local ward, Birchwood in Lincoln thought of the key spending and tax increases proposed by Mr Hammond. My results and analysis follow below:
Results:
A mixed picture for the UK economy was followed by a mix of budgetary policies, some rather more surprising than others. Most UK politicos knew that T-Levels were being introduced and that there might be an extra £1bn for Adult Social Care (it turned out to be £2bn) but very few could have predicted that the Government would ask for an increase in National Insurance Contributions (NICs) from the self-employed, breaking a key manifesto pledge from 2015, something they mocked the Lib Dems for doing on tuition fees, during the General Election campaign. So I wanted to see what a bunch of voters in my local ward, Birchwood in Lincoln thought of the key spending and tax increases proposed by Mr Hammond. My results and analysis follow below:
Location: Birchwood Ward, Lincoln, Lincolnshire. Date: 05/10/2016. Panel: No party members just "ordinary" voters: Voter A: Accounts Assistant, Female, 24, Labour voter. Voter B: Unemployed Painter and Decorator, Male, 55, swing voter considering Conservatives (voted UKIP at GE 2015). Voter C: Business owner, Male, 67, Conservative voter. Voter D: Nurse (in care home), Female, 48, swing voter considering Labour or WEP at next GE. |
Results:
Budget Proposal
|
Voter A
|
Voter B
|
Voter C
|
Voter D
|
NIC rates for self employed (Class 4) to
rise from 9% to 10% in April 2018 and 11% in April 2019.
|
Self-employed people do not enjoy the same
employment rights as employees or workers, so I do not believe
it's fair to increase taxation on them when there are no attempts
to increase Corporation Tax or Capital Gains Tax.
|
I'd considered going self-employed this year
but after the Government’s decision today, I'm worried that if I
get over the £16,250 threshold it won't be worth it. Why do they
want to punish those who are entrepreneurial?
|
I will end up paying more under this proposal
but I think it's pretty fair. Maybe the Government will consider
giving self-employed statutory rights to compensate, like
maternity pay or Annual Leave? I doubt it.
|
As an employee I'm not affected by these
changes but my husband might be as he's self-employed. It just
doesn't seem fair. I thought the Tories weren't going to raise NI
rates or VAT or Income Tax whilst in Government? I think they've
made a lot of people angry.
|
Shareholder dividend rate tax-free allowance reduced
from £5,000 to £2,000 from April 2018.
|
I think this will hit SMEs and investors hard but it'll raise much needed capital for the Treasury to pay for the NHS and Social Care if the forecast figures of £2.6bn by 2021-22 are to be believed. |
This policy is bad for investors and bad for SME business owners. It's a tax on aspiration. Why can't they raise Corporation Tax instead?
|
I will be effected by this policy decision but I guess I should pay my fair share of tax, especially if it helps to fund the NHS and Social Care.
|
I'm not sure if my husband will be affected by this policy but I think we need to raise taxes on companies as well as reducing tax-free allowances. Raise Corporation Tax! |
Investment Guaranteed Growth Bonds, paying
an interest of 2.2% will be available from April 2017.
|
This policy will be attractive to some pensioners and investors who want to see an increased Return on Investment.
|
I can't afford to save £10 a month let alone think about bonds and shares. Whole different world.
|
I may think about getting some Investment Guaranteed Growth Bonds; the interest rate looks attractive and the money can go towards paying for my child's university fees.
|
Saving isn't an option for most on the NLW. It's OK offering bonds and schemes but it's going to benefit only those earning enough to put money aside each month. Not many people I know can do that.
|
Minimum Excise Duty placed on cigarettes
meaning pack of cigs will cost an extra 32p from Wednesday and
hand rolled tobacco pack will cost an extra 42p.
|
I don't smoke so I'm not affected personally by
new Excise Duty. I do think that the Government sees smokers as an
easy target for indirect taxation.
|
I think this is appalling...my benefits don't
go far enough as is and I like to have a roll up or two during the
day. Government's using personal choice to demonise and penalise
smokers. Hope UKIP would freeze this duty in the future.
|
I have smoked since I was 16 and this Excise
Duty will not stop me from enjoying my cigarettes in the future. I
guess I can absorb the cost easier than those on the National
Living Wage can.
|
Any Government interested in improving Public
Health wants to get people to stop doing harmful things to
themselves like smoking. That being said, the money generated by
the new Duty should go towards helping fund public health
preventative campaigns and organisations.
|
Personal Tax Free Allowance will rise to
£11,500 as planned.
|
Good news that the Chancellor has decided to
keep the Government's promise on the Personal Tax Allowance. Those
earning just above the NLW will have more disposable income but it
might end up being used to pay for increases in the cost of food
and energy supplies.
|
When I find a position I'll be happy to know
that I'll be able to keep more of the money I earn.
|
My employees will be glad that their tax
allowance thresholds have risen.; the NLW rise from £7.20 to
£7.50 will help them adjust to any increases in the cost of
living brought about by the Brexit process. Maybe they'll be more
productive?
|
I'm glad to see that I'll remain not paying
Income Tax this year as I'm only working part-time but I do think
it's time for a bigger increase in the NLW or to increase wages in
the social care sector. £7.50 isn't really very good for all the
hard physical graft that you end up doing.
|
£435m for firms affected by increase in
business rates with a £300 million hardship fund for those worst
affected (in London and South East).
|
Businesses should pay their fair amount of
taxes, including business rates. The fund will probably only help
those with large numbers of premises in London and the South East.
What could be more frustrating for some SMEs is that the
Government has also capped rate rises for those businesses losing
rate relief at £50 a month so any benefit from the removal of the
rate relief may be marginal in some council areas.
|
I think it's a disgrace that the Government is
going to compensate large companies just because they moan they
are having trouble paying the rate increase if they are located
down South. This measure will do nothing for small businesses in
Lincoln.
|
I understand the Government's decision to
compensate firms who will be hit by a large increase in business
rates; the extra money will help keep cash-flows healthy so they
can keep purchasing goods and keep the Payroll going. However I
don't know of anyone who will benefit in Lincoln from this
measure.
|
I'd rather have seen the money allocated to
schools or to help fund youth projects and initiatives than to go
to businesses. It's strange that the Government are more than
willing to give money to the corporate firms but not help upgrade
comprehensive school buildings or increase per pupil funding.
|
Fuel duty frozen for another year.
|
SMEs who rely on their cars to get to
customers/clients definitely welcome another Fuel Duty freeze. I
wonder if it'll be sustainable post-Brexit though.
|
I don't drive a car so this policy doesn't
affect me. Think my friends will be happy though.
|
It's sensible of the Government to keep the
Fuel Duty frozen, especially during our Brexit negotiations.
|
I don't drive but my husband is glad he doesn't
have to factor in a Fuel Duty rise into our household budget.
|
£820m tax avoidance clampdown on
businesses.
|
Everyone should be pleased that the Government
is getting tougher on businesses trying to wriggle out of tax
through avoidance schemes. The Chancellor mentioned it'll be
tougher for businesses to covert capital losses into trading
losses and there will be UK VAT on mobile roaming services outside
the EU.
|
Will we ever see any extra money come in as a
result of these changes? So many businessmen try and get away with
paying as little tax as possible and all I want to do is get a job
so I can pay my fair share of tax and support my family. Will we
all be taxed on using roaming services when we are calling from
Turkey?
|
I've never used any tax avoidance schemes and I
understand the Government's decision to introduce UK vat on mobile
roaming services provided outside the EU. We all have to call in
when on business so it'll probably raise a fair bit for the
Treasury, if I'm understanding the policy correctly.
|
Tax avoidance schemes should be scrapped
altogether and I think the tax system really needs to be
simplified to get rid of loopholes. I hope the roaming data charge
VAT won't apply to consumers...I'll have to check with my provider
to see how much extra that'll cost me and my family when we go
abroad this year.
|
£300m to support 1,000 new PhD places and
fellowship in STEM (Science, Technology, Engineering and
Mathematics) subjects.
|
We need to get more women into high-profile
STEM research positions so I'd like to see a quota which would
guarantee at least 500 places going to women.
|
I'm not going to benefit from this policy; are
they going to hire students from the UK to fill these positions or
will most come from the EU as usual? God knows.
|
I like this policy and am pleased to see the
Government proactively investing in the UK's research and
development future. I read the Industrial Strategy so I knew there
were plans for investment in research places. I hope my son will
be able to get a PhD place; he wants to be a Robotics Engineer.
|
Like Voter A, I want to see a gender quota
introduced of 50% on these new PhD and fellowship positions. We
need more female coders, robotics engineers, genetic scientists to
help the world to progress. I'm proud to be using my own STEM
skills in nursing and I'd like the Government to restore nurse
training bursaries because not every person can apply to do a PhD
but they may have skills needed to care for our ageing population.
|
Free school transport (buses) for those on
free school meals who attend grammars/selective schools.
|
This is a fair policy decision; parents who are
struggling to scrape the money together to afford transport for
their children will be relieved.
|
It's common sense really. Kids who have worked
hard to get selected to a grammar school shouldn't be stopped from
attending the school because of their parents' circumstances.
|
Absolutely right for the Government to bring in
this policy. Your own circumstances should not prevent you from
getting a decent education.
|
I think this policy would have been introduced
by a Labour Government anyways so I don't give the Tories any
extra brownie points.
|
£320m for funding grammar and 110 new free
schools.
|
I was educated in a comprehensive school and I
believe that the money should be spent on funding existing schools
and making them fit-for purpose. If extra places are needed, build
more state schools and don't prop up free schools or force
existing schools into becoming academies. The Government should
focus less on school type and more on quality of teachers and
teaching overall.
|
I'd have been glad to go to a grammar school if
there had been one in Lincoln. Free schools may help to develop
specialist skills needed to stop kids from ending up on the dole.
All schools should focus less on Drama and more on the basics like
English and Maths. If I'd learned to read and do maths properly, I
could have ended up in an office or had my own business.
|
School choice is a vital part of our democratic
system; grammars need the funding to increase capacity to take
in more bright students who can get the qualifications they need
to become doctors and lawyers. If a parent wants to help establish
a free school with other parents, they should be able to do so if
they think the quality of education in the area can be improved.
|
I don't see why we we need to fund grammar
schools and set up new schools and have comprehensives turned into
academies...it all seems very unnecessary to me. I believe every
child has the right to a decent standard of basic education and
comprehensive schools can offer specialist training if they can
attract the teaching talent and get the funding they need to
achieve a satisfactory standard. I've never believed in selection
or public and private schools and never will.
|
T-Levels introduced to give technical
education same level of recognition as academic education.
|
T-Levels when taken alongside A-Levels could
boost a student's chances of gaining a well paid job in the future
within certain professional fields but the policy needs fleshing
out. Will Accountancy, for example, turn from an A-Level to a
T-Level or will it just be subjects like Engineering and
Hairdressing? It seems the Government is using the T-Level
structure to abolish 1000s of other qualifications...does that
mean that mature students can't take T-Levels if the equivalent
course is scrapped? Mature students can do A-Levels. Confusing.
|
I wasn't a brainbox at school and I'd have
jumped at the chance of taking a T-Level in something like
Construction. It'd have set me up for life. I'd be proud if my
kids decide to do T-Levels after their GCSEs.
|
I know that T-Levels are only going to involve
certain professional skills, like Hairdressing or Construction so
there will still be students wanting to become lawyers or doctors
who will have to take traditional academic A-Levels. Those who are
less academic will have more of a chance when they finish sixth
form/college, though.
|
I read that T-Levels are more likely to be
taught in Further Education Colleges, meaning that if a student
wants to study an A-Level or AS Level alongside a T-Level, they'll
have to leave their school at 16 even if they are happy and
settled at that school. It may be fine for those who want to be
hairdressers or work in construction or plumbing but it won't help
train nurses.
|
£100m to place more GP s in A&Es next
winter.
|
I was seen by a GP weekend service at Lincoln
County Hospital's A&E and I thought the GP was very friendly
and knowledgeable and it saved me waiting for hours at the A&E
waiting to be seen by an emergency doctor. Is £100m really
enough?
|
I don't really want to go traipsing up to the
Hospital just to see a GP in the evening or on a Saturday in the
middle of winter. I want Birchwood Medical Practice open 24/7 and
fully staffed!
|
£100m is going to help ease the situation in
A&Es in the winter. Those who have minor aliments, sprains,
pains etc can be seen by GP s and they are all friendly and
professional. The overnight and weekend service seems to work well
in Lincoln, anyways!
|
I'm not convinced that £100m for GPs is going
to be enough to ease A&E pressures. We need more A&E
doctors, nurses and we need more hospital capacity. I'm sick and
tired of seeing clients from my home having to wait 4 hours on a
trolley just to be seen by a doctor.
|
£325m to allow NHS Sustainability and
Transformation Plans (STPs) to proceed.
|
I've glanced at the ULHT STP and it looks like
they want to centralise services like the A&E for pretty much
all of Lincolnshire at Lincoln County Hospital. That'll only
increase waiting times and reduce bed capacity. Wrong decision.
|
The NHS needs to save money and become more
efficient and if these STPs or whatever they're called help to do
this, I haven't got a problem with it. I don't know why people in
Grantham are really kicking up a fuss. They can drive?
|
I don't know much about the STP; I guess I'll
have to try and find it online. I do think that Grantham A&E
should be reopened as a 24/7 service and that it's better to treat
people locally than expect them to travel an hour to get emergency
treatment in Lincoln.
|
The STPs are designed to reduce capacity and
staffing levels in hospitals and to centralise emergency care
services. I think it's a disgrace that the Government believes
it's appropriate to say to an elderly person: “drive an hour to
get to A&E and then wait more than 2 hours to get emergency
treatment”. Ambulance services are already overstretched as it
is. Re-open Grantham A&E 24/7 and make sure that NHS services
are fully staffed and give them a pay rise!
|
£2bn for Adult Social Care over the next 3
years with £1bn in the 4th year.
|
£2bn is “a drop in the ocean”as Jeremy
Corbyn stated. The Kings Fund says that we need £2bn a year just
to plug gaps in adult social care and what about child social
care; families need to have qualified professionals to help them
look after severely disabled children. Where's the funding for
them?
|
The Government were told they needed to fund
social care and they've provided some funding on top of what we
all pay in council tax. Where's the problem? Maybe people should
just save up more for care in their old age and then this wouldn’t
be such a huge issue.
|
Social care service providers should be pleased
to see there will be funding available to help pay for their
services. I think we need to start taking responsibility as a
country and save more so that we can ensure we can be looked after
in our old age. All about personal responsibility.
|
This announcement just isn't enough to help pay
for adult social care. Councils are struggling to pay for the cost
of private care for those clients who cannot pay for themselves
and everyone deserves the right to a decent standard of care in
their old age. Don't penalise someone because they didn't have a
job that paid enough for their care.
|
Most sugary drinks taxed at 24p per litre to
fight childhood obesity.
|
I don't think taxing sugary drinks will help
fight child obesity; some parents will still buy them a sugary
drink a few times a week regardless of the tax. There's nothing
wrong with having a Pepsi Max bottle twice a week.
|
Tax on the poor again. I don't know why the
Government can't just let people make their own decisions and stop
taxing everything they think is “unhealthy”.
|
It's the Government's choice to decide which
measures are most effective in improving Public Health. I only
have a Coke occasionally these days and I'll just pay the extra
few pence.
|
You don't fight childhood obesity by taxing
drinks that everyone consumes. Better to invest in education
measures than taxation ones. Hope Labour may reconsider the Sugar
Tax in a future manifesto.
|
£690m competition fund to tackle urban
congestion.
|
It looks like Lincoln would have to bid to be
in with a chance of getting any of this funding. Seems unlikely
we'll see any of it.
|
Why can't the Government just allocate a few
million to each council rather than make them bid for funding?
|
It'd be good to see Karl McCartney (MP for
Lincoln) and City of Lincoln Council bid for this funding. The
High Street can get very congested at times and the increase in
freight trains isn't helping the situation.
|
Most of this funding is more likely to go to
conurbations like Stoke-On-Trent or Leeds than coming to Lincoln.
Allocation of funds would be better than having a bidding process.
|
£270m for “new technologies” such as
robots and driverless cars.
|
I believe that such projects should be
investor-funded, not funded by the Government. I'm not a
technophobe but I believe the money is needed as part of the NHS
or Education budget.
|
Waste of money...chucking it down the drain
like no tomorrow. Why can't Richard Branson or Lord Alan Sugar
invest in such businesses? The Government can't invest in
everything.
|
I'm all for investment in new technologies; the
UK could become the global leader in robotics engineering. Let's
be innovators not NIMBYs.
|
The Government can find £270m for this but
won't give NHS nurses a pay rise or set up an Arts Fund in primary
schools that would benefit far more voters than these schemes put
together. Shameful.
|
£16m more for 5G upgrades and £200m for
local broadband networks.
|
It would be great for local businesses to have
access to 5G mobile networks and fast broadband. Glad th e
Government is keeping their promise.
|
It'd be cool to get internet access “out in
the sticks” but is it really that important?
|
I'm glad the Government is honouring their
commitment to providing fast fibre-optic broadband and 5G mobile
services. My friends who have businesses in places like
Skellingthorpe rely on fast reliable broadband to process orders
and keep in touch with customers.
|
I've never really noticed the broadband speeds
or mobile network coverage...I guess it doesn't bother me that
much but if others are desperate for better connectivity then it's
important for them. I'm ambivalent on this policy.
|
£20m for campaign against violence against
women and girls.
|
The Government should be doing everything they
can to reduce instances of sexual violence and domestic violence
and abuse (DVA) against women and girls. If the fund is going to
help keep survivor shelters open or go towards training for police
officers and NHS professionals, then that's all good but why they
couldn't put £270m into this instead of just £20m is beyond me.
|
Where's the funding for male domestic abuse and
violence victims? I think they get ignored by this Government.
I'm with Philip Davies...it's just not good enough.
|
I agree with the Government's decision to
provide £20m to this campaign; after all they signed up to the
Istanbul Convention and helped pass the bill. Not sure yet what
the money will be used for but I hope similar funding will be
available for male survivors of domestic abuse and violence and
sexual abuse.
|
Why the Government have not done this before
escapes me. DVA charities have asked for funding to allow them to
continue to offer services to vulnerable women and girls but
they've only just decided to offer a tiny amount of funding now.
Labour MPs always support DVA services but I've not seen many
Conservative male MPs talk about funding for male survivors. Why
do they only matter now to them?
|
£5m to celebrate the centenary of the
first women gaining right to vote and to educate students about
the Suffragette movement.
|
Everyone should be thankful that women who are
British citizens now have the right to vote. We should celebrate
the Suffragette movement and make sure that every student knows
the importance of going out to vote. There was money to
commemorate male soldiers during WW1 so why not Suffragettes who
also helped in the war effort by working in municipal factories
and nursing the wounded?
|
£5m to celebrate women getting the vote? Why?
We already know they can vote! I'm not a sexist but does the
Government really need to pay £5m to educate students about women
gaining the right to vote?
|
I think it's fine to invest £5m in
commemoration events; next year will mark 100 years since women
first gained the right to vote after all. I hope there will be an
event in Lincoln as part of the nationwide celebrations and I look
forward to attending it.
|
It's only right and proper to honour those
women who fought to gain the right to vote. Every student should
know about the Pankhursts but what about Emily Davison, who was
thrown under the King's horse at the Epsom Derby in June 1913
after trying to raise attention to the Suffragist cause? There's a
lot for students to learn and any extra resources that can be
created to bring the story of the Suffragette Movement to life
will be welcome.
|
£5m to support women returning to work
after their career break.
|
Mothers and women who acted as carers for
family members do need help to ensure they find a position that
suits their experience and skills. Employers need to be more
willing to employ older women returning to work too.
|
Why is there extra funding for women who have
been out of work due to pregnancy/motherhood? Where's the help for
working class youngsters who can't get on the career ladder in the
first place?
|
I'm fine with the Government giving funding to
organisations to help support women wanting to go back into the
workplace after a long absence. Employers would value their skills
and be prepared to fund the training updates needed to carry out
their previous job role effectively.
|
I do wonder which women will be helped by the
fund; will it be nurses, retail assistants and admin assistants or
just management in banks or lawyers and doctors. Will the fund
help women who have been carers in Lincolnshire? A lot more detail
is needed.
|
Best Policy
|
£20m for campaign against violence against
women and girls.
|
T-Levels for kids.
|
£2bn for Adult Social Care.
|
£20m for campaign against violence against
women and girls.
|
Worst Policy
|
NIC rates rise for some self-employed people.
|
£270m for “driverless cars”..why?
|
NIC rates rise for some self-employed people.
|
£2bn for Adult Social Care because it doesn't
go far enough.
|
How will you vote at the next GE?
|
Labour because Jeremy Corbyn is an
inspirational figure and is trying to hold the Tories to account.
|
I'll vote UKIP because I disagree with giving
more money to corporate firms & vanity projects.
|
Definitely Conservative; I'm proud of what PM
May is doing and happy with her Brexit approach.
|
Labour if Jeremy Corbyn steps down as leader;
otherwise WEP or Lib Dems. I'll weigh up my options.
|
Analysis:
At first glance, it would appear that the
Government's policies received a fairly mixed reaction with this
group of voters in Lincoln. Voter C, who usually votes for the
Conservative party was much more positive about key signature
policies than Voters A and D, who generally vote for Labour
(Birchwood is usually a Labour ward with 2 Labour city councillors
Roseanne Kirk and Paul Gowen and one Conservative city councillor,
Eddie Strengiel). Voter B, a UKIP voter considering voting for the
Conservatives at the next election was the one who expressed most
dissent with the policies proposed in the Budget. This may be down to
his current socio-economic status but it was clear that he was
disappointed with the allocation of funds to “vanity projects”
like robotics and driverless cars and questioned the validity of
spending £5m on commemorating the centenary of British women gaining
the right to vote. Labour leaning Voters A&D entirely disagreed
with Voter B on his view and praised the Government for ringfencing
the Suffragette fund, with Voter D arguing that it can be used to
create resources which can help educate students about the importance
of voting in future elections as well as telling the important story
of suffragettes like Emily Davison and the Pankhursts.
However, Voters A&D were critical of a number
of Budget policies, citing lack of detail. For example, Voter A
wondered which 15 subjects were going to be taught as T-Levels and
whether mature students would be able to study them at college, as
they can do currently with A-Levels. Voter D was critical of the
funding allocated towards STPs, mentioning that centralising key
emergency services at Lincoln County Hospital may lead to increased
waiting time, more stressed emergency nurses and doctors and put an
extra travelling burden on elderly people who should not be made to
travel for 40 minutes to get treatment for a sprained ankle or burned
hand. Ambulance services are already under pressure and do not have
the vehicles or the personnel to respond to an increase in cases that
may result from any closure of Grantham A&E after the ULHT STP
has been implemented. Interestingly, Lincolnshire Conservative
councillors and local MP Karl McCartney agree that the STP needs to
be improved and a rethink on centralisation of key services needs to
take place before it has any hope of being approved.
Local issues do come into play when Budget details
are announced and Voters A, B and D are fairly sceptical of how
certain policies may help improve the lives of constituents in
Lincoln. The urban congestion fund needs to be bid for and Voter D
thought that “most of this funding is more likely to go to
conurbations like Stoke-On-Trent and Leeds than to Lincoln”. Voter
A pointed out that rates relief wouldn't really affect many
businesses in Lincoln and even voter C admitted he didn't know anyone
who would benefit directly from the £300m rate hardship fund. Voter
B believed the hardship fund was just rewarding corporate firms and
he thought it was a disgrace that money can be found to ease the woes
of the wealthy when National Insurance contributions (NICs) have been
increased on the self-employed. Ah that particular policy went down
like a hot lead balloon with this voting panel with Voters A and D
very keen to point out that self-employed people do not enjoy the
same employment rights as employees and that's why they shouldn't be
forced to pay increased rates if they happen to have a “good year”
and earn more than £16,250 in profits. It can be seen as a tax on
aspiration but more importantly, it's making families nervous and
wondering how much they need to save from their budgets to pay for
the increase in NICs. The Government did promise that they wouldn't
raise NICs, VATs or Income Tax in their manifesto of 2015 so no
wonder voters are confused by the U-turn. That being said, Voter C
said he was happy to pay the increase and it's not clear yet whether
he's in the minority or whether self-employed businessmen will just
absorb the costs and wait for changes in employment law for the
self-employed that may come after the Brexit process has been
completed.
With regards to education policy more generally,
it seems that the voters in this group were split down traditional
party lines. Voters A and D are opposed to grammar school expansions
and do not understand why the Government is focusing on diversifying
school types rather than increasing “per pupil funding” for all
schools in England. Is school choice really that important? Does
increasing free school places help improve educational standards for
disabled working class children? Will there be many changes in
Lincoln...there are no grammar schools in Lincoln itself and the only
free-school that I myself am aware of is the Acorn Free School which
opened in September 2013 helping students who may not thrive in a
“conventional school environment”? T-Levels as mentioned above
were broadly welcomed but as Voter D pointed out, it seems that only
Further Education colleges will be the ones who provide the T-Levels
and we still don't know whether A-Levels can be taken alongside them.
Funding for 1,000 PhD and fellowship places in STEM subjects is
welcome but again, Voters A&D wanted to see more detail on the
proposal, asking whether a gender quota of 50% should be placed to
ensure that women are given equal opportunity to gain a fellowship or
PhD funded place as men. I agree with them!
Some policies, like the Fuel Duty freeze and
Personal Tax Allowance increase are universally welcome and were
expected to happen. The key policy announcement on adult Social Care,
the one that most voters were waiting for was just not enough for
Labour voters to get excited about. That coupled with the NIC changes
and lack of clarity over policies such as that focusing on STEM PhD
and fellowship questions means that there really was no movement in
voting intentions from Labour and Conservative voters. Yet with UKIP
voters thinking of switching to the Conservatives, the Budget just
didn't hit the mark. It entrenched the view that the Conservatives
care more about those who have savings than those who cannot afford
to save. It focussed on helping big businesses hit by the business
rate relief scrap but decided to hurt self-employed businessmen.
There was no extra money for the NHS other than that £100m for GPs
being placed in A&Es and getting the STPs rolling. However, the
Budget did impress Voter B with its announcement for T-Levels and
funding for free schools but clearly impressive educational policies
aren't enough to get him to commit to voting for the Conservatives at
the next General Election. I imagine it'll come down to that all
important deal sourced by David Davis in Brussels as to whether UKIP
voters like Voter B will be willing to trust the Government with the
future direction of the country. That's an interesting finding in
itself.
No comments:
Post a Comment